I was recently on http://www.realclearpolitics.com and was studying the state by state Senate races this year. There are about 8 or 9 competitive races that should determine who controls the Senate Majority next year. After looking at the polling the democrats are in the lead in most of the races which spells doom for Republicans.
Then I read an article that three state branches of the Christian Coalition were breaking off and starting their own organizations. Factor in that the coalition is over a million in debt, they have weak national leadership and that their former director Ralph Reed couldn't even win the Lt. Governor's primary last month and you see just feckless that organization has become.
Finally, I read a survey that the percentage of people who think the Republican party is religious has dropped from 55 to 47 percent. The biggest drop was among white evangelicals and Catholics. Democrats are no better as only 29 percent view them as religious. Still that drop suggests a lack of enthusiam among the Republican base.
With dismal poll numbers and a weak grassroots base, it looks like Republicans are in big, big trouble going into the election.
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Again, it is not that conservatives, such as I, will start voting for the other party, but I expect many conservatives to not bother voting this time around. We'll see if the Republican party takes notice.
The Republicans may survive with a majority only because the same dynamic is affecting the Democratic party. Liberals aren't voting for Democratic candidates that aren't as far out in left field as they. They're voting for Green and other extremist parties. And don't forget Lieberman running as an independant and soon being booted by the his former party.
This is just an example of the polarizing that many are talking about.
I know my frustration with the Republican Party is the RINOs, those that want to use the government to improve life instead of stick strong to the conservative view of less government, less taxes.
Then the Republicans can't do anything important like seal the borders. Everything they have done has been a let down for those who have worked hard for a Republican majority for generations.
Sucks to be you.
Just kidding! :-)
Whereas the Republicans may be in a bit o trouble in the short run I don't think there's much to worry about in the next decade. The Democrats are so pathetically run and leaderless that the Republican machine will no doubt regroup under new titles and with new goals.
Right now the goal seems to simply stop the hemoraging in Washington.
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